GSE takeover prompts financial-led rally

Small-cap stocks rallied Monday, but most of the fireworks took place in the morning as the market awoke to news that government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) had been taken into conservator status by the government. There was an initial euphoria that pushed small-caps up some 3% in after-hours trading, but the market drifted well off the highs through midday as tech stocks continued to fret about the possibility of a global slowdown. An afternoon push in the final 30 minutes of trading helped lift the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) to a gain of 14.01, or 1.95%, at 732.86; the small-cap benchmark is now down just 4.3% for the year. Meanwhile, the Dow was up 2.58% and the S&P 500 was up 2.05%. For 2008, the Dow is down 13.2% and the S&P 500 down 13.6%.

The market spent much of the day trying to decide if the Treasury Department’s takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac represented a long-term positive, or just a short-term stop-gap measure. Clearly, the outside world loved the news, as equity markets in Asia and Europe posted strong rallies overnight. There was a sense among investors that the government was basically forced to take this action, and that it would help pull some of the uncertainty out of the equation when it comes to trusting mortgage-related debt issues. Still, it’s a big leap from shoring up paper mortgage-backed securities debt to finding a bottom in the housing market slump.

In a research report earlier today, strategists at Goldman Sachs said that the GSE plan was a short-term bullish factor for equities and the U.S. dollar. “The move is consistent with the U.S. administration’s main aim to secure financial stability first, in the spirit of the Bear Stearns bailout in March and the declaration of the unusual and exigent circumstances by the Federal Reserve Board,” Goldman said . . .

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