Mild rise on Libor dip, overseas gains; watching voter polls

Small-cap stocks pushed higher on the opening, but gains were short of expectations built on pre-market futures activity. Support was tied to further declines in lending rates and advances in overseas equities, but the focus today was clearly on the elections underway in the United States. At 10:01 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 0.82, or 0.15% at 539.32.

The factory orders report came out at minus 2.5%, which was below the forecast for a decline of 1.5%. The market noticeably trimmed away gains after the report.

Even with the market in rally mode early today, the spotlight will likely be on the exit poll reports as American voters close out the presidential election campaign. Barack Obama is widely reported as holding a comfortable lead into today’s vote, but market watchers are also closely watching the House and Senate seats that are up for a vote to see if the Democrats will mount a big power shift. In addition, traders are debating the potential impact of an Obama stimulus package.

On the inter-bank lending front, three-month Libor rates tumbled to a five-month low and are now below the levels in place before the stock market collapse in September. In addition, three-month Euribor rates hit a seven-month low. Libor rates are now down more than 2% from the peak seen in the credit crisis when banks were . . .

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