Choppy early action digesting GDP, earnings news

Small-cap stocks edged higher on the opening, underpinned by a GDP report that wasn’t as bad as feared and by a smattering of decent earnings reports on the small-cap front that lifted the Russell relative to the large-cap indices. But those early gains were trimmed as the market remains concerned about the economy and corporate profits. At 10:03 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 0.17, or 0.04%, at 453.07.

The quarterly GDP report came in at minus 3.8%, which was quite a bit better than feared: the pre-release forecast called for a slide of 5.3%. Even though the report showed less contraction than expected in the economy, this still marked the worst showing for the U.S. since 1982. In addition, consumer spending dropped for two consecutive quarters for the first time since 1990-1991 as people struggle with sinking home values, mounting job losses and stock market devaluation. There was some concern that the “upside” surprise on GDP only delays the pain, especially as corporate layoffs have escalated in January.

While the GDP report was the primary target on everyone’s radar this morning, there were also economic releases on the employment cost index (it rose 0.6%, about what was expected); the Chicago Purchasing Manager’s Survey; and the Michigan sentiment survey. The Chicago headline figure came in at 33.3, which was below the forecast of 34.9 and which marked a new cycle low for the reading on Midwest manufacturing. The market appeared to slide after the Chicago number came out. Meanwhile, the Michigan figure was at 61.2, relatively close to the projection of 61.9.

One measure of just how ugly things have become, the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI), a survey of Goldman’s equity analysts across a range of sectors, . . .

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