Today's Trading

TARP jitters, consumer spending fears, commodity slide ignite freefall

SMALLCAP MARKETPLACE
Kevin Pendley | Nov 12, 2008 4:29pm EST
Rating: Unrated

Small-cap stocks went into freefall mode Wednesday, burdened by new plans for the troubled asset relief program (TARP), ongoing worries about corporate profitability, money flow out of equities into credit markets, further downside probing in commodities to 5-year lows and renewed concerns about consumer spending in a difficult economic environment. The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) closed down 29.49, or 6.12% at 452.80, the second-lowest daily close in more than five years. For 2008, the Russell is now down 41%, while the Dow is off 38% and the S&P 500 is down 42%.

We’ve all become somewhat numb to mind-boggling daily volatility since the collapse kicked into gear, but to give some perspective, if you went back before the stock market crash began in mid-September, today’s slide would have been the largest one-day swoon of the year. Including action since mid-September, this was the eighth session sporting a loss of 5% or more.

The market was already in a fragile frame of mind this morning after Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE:BBY) lowered its outlook, which stirred worries about consumer spending heading toward the key holiday season. With two-thirds of the U.S. economy driven by consumer spending, a picture of rising unemployment and a dreary outlook for next year make for a troubling brew. BBY shares lost 8% on the day, while the S&P Retail Index was off 5.7%.

Then after the BBY scare, investor confidence seemed to be shaken even more by the Treasury Department’s decision to scrap the original rescue plans of using $700 billion in TARP funds to buy up toxic debt and instead divert money into more capital injections. Those investor concerns appear to be two-fold: first, there is a perception that the government still is bouncing back and forth trying to put out fires instead of having a deliberate plan of attack to help restore financial solvency. Second, there is a chance that if the government funnels billions of dollars into these financial firms it will dilute share-holder equity. The PHLX KBW Banking Index was off 6.1%.

When the TARP was first approved by Congress back on Oct. 3, the Russell was at 619.40. After putting $350 billion to “work” to rescue the market out of the credit crisis, the Russell is now at 452.80. Clearly, there is still work to be done. And the longer the market struggles the more likely it is that public frustration over . . .

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