Today's Trading

Record retail sales slump, money flow to credit pulls down stocks

SMALLCAP MARKETPLACE
Kevin Pendley | Nov 14, 2008 10:23am EST
Rating: Unrated

Small-cap stocks opened lower, pressured by bleak retail sales data, soft earnings news, a pullback in energy prices, money flow into credit markets and a “breather” mentality after Thursday afternoon’s humongous recovery rally. At 9:57 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 5.85, or 1.19%, at 485.39.

Today’s “big event” -- the retail sales report, came in below expectations with a record October drop of 2.8%, far off the projection for a 1.5% decline, but closer to the whisper numbers making the round late this week. Stock index futures were down about 1.5% before the awful retail sales release and they remained down about 1.5% in the 60 minutes following the report, which suggests that other factors were at play. This morning’s Michigan sentiment survey came in at 57.9, which was slightly better than the forecast of 56.5, and which appeared to have little impact on trading.

The pullback this morning could simply be the market taking a break after a stunning bullish reversal off bear market lows Thursday. There is also a chance that traders don’t want to be caught short over the weekend just in case the G-20 comes out with some stunning stimulus package. G-20 leaders started an economic summit today in Washington to discuss the ongoing global financial crisis. And while G-20 leaders are in Washington working on ways to fix the world’s financial problems, central bankers are over in Europe, where the latest news overnight is that the eurozone economy slipped into recession for the first time in 15 years. Bernanke said that bank liquidity measures were generating tentative improvements in credit markets and that central banks remain ready to act if needed. His comments came into the teeth of the retail sales release but seemed to have limited initial market reaction.

Libor rates edged up again overnight for the second consecutive session, which raises some caution flags among investors about the lending mentality around the world. Within the credit spectrum this morning, money seemed to moving into Treasury products, with the yield on benchmark 10-year notes tumbling more than 3%. Since yields move inverse to price the big slide on rates reflects demand for Treasury products. Energy shares were a big positive factor for the market during Thursday’s rally, but were a drag this morning as crude oil prices slipped about $0.70 . . .

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