Small caps retreat on sloppy econ data, lower profit forecasts

Small-cap stocks took a dive on the opening as the optimism that drove a sterling three-day rally abated amid a backlash from sobering economic data and a fresh batch of downbeat corporate forecasts. However, tech stocks were surprisingly firm today, which helped the overall market bounce off the morning lows. At 10:02 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 3.44, or 0.78%, at 439.74.

Market watchers were hip deep in data overload this morning as various government and private offices release reports early ahead of the Thanksgiving Day holiday in the United States. Amid this smorgasbord of information, the headliner appeared to be durable goods report, which showed a jolting decline of 6.2%, the largest drop in more than two years and well beyond the consensus forecast for a drop of 2.7%. The durables data base can be a little volatile, especially with huge orders for aircraft involved, but in this report orders for almost every category were down, and orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft were off 4%. Shipments of finished goods were also down, which is a troubling sign for U.S. manufacturers and their likely hiring plans.

Another gloomy report on manufacturing came from today’s Chicago Purchasing Manager’s Survey, which was at 33.8, well below the 38 forecast and at the lowest point in 26 years. Meanwhile, new home sales were at an annualized rate of 433,000 units, down from the forecast of 440,000. The Michigan sentiment survey came in at 55.3, which was below the projection of 57.9 and at the lowest point since 1980.

Speaking of hiring (or the lack thereof), the weekly claims report came in at 529,000, which was in line with the forecast of 530,000. Even though the number of people filing for unemployment insurance fell 14,000 from last week, it should be noted . . .

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