Russell rises as crude oil slips, durables impress

Small-cap stocks pushed higher on the opening, lifted by another slide in crude oil prices overnight, and by a pleasant upward surprise on durable goods data ahead of the opening. At 9:52 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 0.72, or 0.11%, at 735.11.

Crude oil prices have now tumbled more than 5% off last week’s record highs, and were pressured overnight by news that Saudi Arabia would increase production and that Asian demand could begin to ebb because of high price levels. In general, the commodity story was under pressure early today, with gold sinking about 2% and grains prices expected to tumble this morning.

There was some thought that traders might be unwinding some of the long crude oil/short dollar trades that have been so popular in recent months. The greenback was on a bid this morning, climbing 0.3% against the euro, and about 0.7% versus the yen. In general, a strong dollar at this stage of the economic cycle is seen as supportive to equities, reflecting investment flow demand and softening food and energy prices, which would bolster consumer purchasing power.

Back to the durable goods report, the headline figure came in down 0.5%, which was better than the forecast for a slide of 1%, but the real surprise was on the ex-transportation figure, which was up 2.5%, well clear of the median expectation for a gain of 0.5%. The MBA Mortgage Application survey also came out this morning, and reflected slack demand, with the index down 4.6% and the purchase index off 17.4%. This is a volatile data base and appeared to be overshadowed by the durables surprise. The economic data push for today is now out of the way; later . . .

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