Is China the Only One Growing?

Stocks continued their drop from the opening on a pullback in energy prices and on rumors that small-cap General Motors (NYSE:GM) may file bankruptcy.

At 11:30, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 16.96, or 4.57%, at 354.34, while the Dow is down 3.16% to 6,658.88, and the S&P 500 is down 3.69% to 686.60.

The bad news out this morning weighed on stocks, and included a survey release that showed nearly 12% of mortgage holders are behind on payments or are in foreclosure.

GM auditors have said they have “substantial doubt” as to whether the battered automaker has the ability to continue, and GM said they may have to seek bankruptcy protection if its huge restructuring plan falls through. GM shares slid over 16% and are now under $2 per share.

Small caps bucking the downward trend today include Weight Watchers International (NYSE:WTW), up 18 on heavier-than-average volume. Cornell Companies (NYSE:CRN) is up over 10% after reporting a rise in Q4 profit, and also reporting positive Q4 profit results was Genesco, Inc. (NYSE:GCO), up 10% on the news.

*****Wednesday's rally could have been stronger, though you can't really be surprised that investors aren't jumping head first back in the stock market. Volume appears to have been solid, but not outstanding.

The most encouraging aspect to Wednesday's rally was leadership. We got leadership from technology and oil. If investors are buying in anticipation of an economic recovery, then oil necessarily must trade higher. Because any uptick in economic activity means increased demand for oil. And with OPEC production cuts taking hold and recent reserve draw-downs, the oil market has to be tight. 

*****Jason Cimpl, analyst for TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts, made 10% on the US Oil Trust ETF (USO) last week. And the USO position he recommended . . .

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