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Ian Wyatt

This American Industry is Finally About to Recover

Politicians and journalists scramble to tell us at every opportunity that the recovery is in full swing, and that many sectors of the economy are back to “normal.”

But some industries have yet to recover – and these sectors are potential areas for substantial growth as the economy continues to normalize. Case in point: the recession absolutely capsized the boating industry.

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Ian Wyatt

Markets Close Up Despite Late Session Sell-Off

Stocks rallied today suggesting that investors sloughed off fears of a correction or at least pushed out the day of reckoning. The Dow closed up 83.51 to 9,154.23 after a major drop down during the last hour of trading. The Nasdaq closed up 16.54 to end the day at 1,984.30 and the S&P 500 closed up 11.60 to finish at 986.75 after and early session high of 996.68 had traders believing that 1,000 might be broken.

The Russell 2000 closed at 557.75, up 9.37.

Leading price gainers for small-cap today was Georgia Gulf Corporation (NYSE:GGC) up 119% after announcing it had cut its debt load by half. Other small-cap gainers include Valassis Communications (NYSE:VCI) up 30%; Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) up 27%; and American Superconductor Corporation (Nasdaq:AMSC) up 23%.

Decliners in the small-cap space were lead by Inovio Biomedical Corporation (AMEX:INO) down 53% after announcing today that it had received commitments from institutional investors to purchase $30 million in securities. Other small-cap decliners include Lee Enterprises (NYSE:LEE) down 30%; Alliance Healthcare (NYSE:AIQ) down 30%; and icad (Nasdaq:ICAD) down 20%.

******Stocks have traded in a pretty tight range over the last several sessions. There's been an appearance of weakness, and some comments from talking heads that a correction is coming, or may have started. It's sure not looking that way today.

Stocks are big in the early going. The sell-off in China I mentioned the other day has reversed. All the talk of an imminent overheating of China's economy now sounds like a deliberate attempt to work stocks lower so dips could be bought.

There should be no doubt that games are being played right now. Shenanigans, as I like to call them. But it's also true that economic recovery is an unknown entity: we don't know what's going to happen, how robust the recovery is and what the upside may be. That's why the shenanigans work.

Just this morning, new jobless claims came in higher than expected. That's bad news. But stocks are up big. Many of the ongoing conditions of recession are being discounted because it's widely believed that the economy has bottomed. Some believe the recovery that's going on right now will show up as a surprise number for the third quarter GDP.

*****So that suggests that today's poor unemployment number will soon be a stabilizing, or even improving number. Yesterday's bad durable goods number will be the bottom of the cycle…

Is the market being set-up for a massive disappointment? You bet it is. Will that disappointment materialize? I don't know.

That leaves me, and other investors, in a difficult spot. So, I'm going to continue to do what I've been doing - buy quality stocks in the sectors that make sense, watch them like a hawk and take profits. That approach has worked extremely well in all of my advisory letters.

*****I haven't mentioned my Recovery Portfolio lately. I've added a couple stocks over the last few weeks and just closed a covered call trade on Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK). We made 21% and 25% in four months on a very low risk investment. I'm lining up my next covered call trade, to learn more about Recovery Portfolio, click HERE.

*****SCI Daily readers are the best. Your response to the T-shirt contest I announced yesterday to get the word out on my first book, The Small Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small Cap Stocks, was outstanding. And I didn't even give you all the details!

First of all, I neglected to include the link to the SmallCapInvestor Facebook page. Click this link to check it out.

I also didn't mention that everyone who submits a T-shirt slogan will get a 30-day, 100% complimentary trial to my SmallCapInvestor PRO advisory service. Or that the winner gets a one-year subscription to ALL of my advisory and trading services ($2,680 value), plus a signed copy of the book and three t-shirts.

And still, you stepped up to help. Thanks again for your overwhelming support.

I will be taking submissions for the T-shirt slogan until August 9, 2009. Submissions can be made at Facebook or via email (tshirt@smallcapinvestor.com). All email submissions will be posted on Facebook and that's where the voting will take place.

*****It's pretty clear now that the trends we've seen emerging from the financial crisis and recovery will be with us for a long time. I'm talking about high unemployment, higher taxes, a weak dollar, restrictive regulations, and potential inflation, just to name a few.

Clearly, these conditions will have a profound effect on your investments in the months and years ahead.

And because many of these conditions are a direct result of government bailouts, I'm calling the condition Managed America.

We've just completed the update to the Predictions 2009 special report (I mentioned it last week, click here if you need a copy). The report does a cursory review of the past few months and the investing strategy that made big gains for Top Stock Insights subscribers.

More importantly however, the report reveals our investing strategies for the remainder of 2009 and beyond, and explores my concept of Managed America and how you can still make profitable investments. The U.S. economy has changed and investors need to understand the changes in order to make the best investments.

To complement the report, I'm hosting a web video conference on Monday, August 10th at 6:00 p.m. to go over the major themes of Managed America and how you'll make profits from this new economic reality.

The event is free, but you do need to register for it. Click here for the free registration page now to make sure you're on the list to attend.

Best Regards,

Ian Wyatt
Editor
SCI Daily

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Claire Caldwell

Georgia Gulf , Brunswick and Quaker Chemical lead small-cap percentage gainers

Georgia Gulf Corp. (Nasdaq:GGC), Brunswick Corp. (Nasdaq:BC) and Quaker Chemical Corp. (Nasdaq:KWR) are among the biggest percentage gainers in Thursday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $1 billion.

Also included among the results: West Marine Inc. (Nasdaq:WMAR), Sourcefire Inc. (Nasdaq:FIRE), Tenneco Inc. (Nasdaq:TEN), Callaway Golf Co. (Nasdaq:ELY), OfficeMax Inc. (Nasdaq:OMX) and Olympic Steel Inc. (Nasdaq:ZEUS).
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SCI Microbloggers

The Russell closes up nearly 4%; LNY, WBMD and MMR lead gainers

The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) staged an impressive start to the week, closing up 3.88% on Monday. Today’s small-cap gainers are Landrys Restaurants (NYSE:LNY), WebMD (Nasdaq:WBMD) and McMoRan (NYSE:MMR).

Other Market Watch highlights today included:

• The Russell is now down 29% for the year, while the Dow is off 30% and the S&P 500 is down 33%.
• Small caps lagged large caps today even on the rally, which is a little bit of concern as the same pattern was evident on the recent collapse.
• Techs lagged throughout the day. If the money to invest in tech is choked off, then the risk appetite for smaller-cap stocks is likely to suffer as well.
• Sectors on the rise today include coal stocks, oil equipment and oil services, oil exploration, oil and gas storage, steel, oil refiners, gas utilities, industrial gases and power products.
• On the downside, broadcast and cable TV stocks were lower, as . . .

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Wyatt Research Staff

Jones Apparel Group, Switch & Data Facilities Co and Temple-Inland among 52-week lows

Jones Apparel Group Inc. (Nasdaq:JNY), Switch & Data Facilities Co Inc. (Nasdaq:SDXC) and Temple-Inland Inc. (Nasdaq:TIN) are among the new 52-week lows in Wednesday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $1 billion.

Also included among the results: Dynamics Research Corp. (Nasdaq:DRCO), American Greetings Corp. (Nasdaq:AM), Monotype Imaging Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq:TYPE), Brunswick Corp. (Nasdaq:BC), Atheros Communications Inc. (Nasdaq:ATHR) and CPI International Inc. (Nasdaq:CPII).

Here are the new 52-week lows among small caps:


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Jennifer Schonberger

Brunswick to shutter plants, slash 1,000 jobs

In an effort to combat a prolonged downturn in the shrinking U.S. marine market, boat and marine engines manufacturer Brunswick Corp. (NYSE:BC) said this morning that it will shut down four plants in addition to the eight it has already closed as the firm seeks to reduce its fixed cost structure by $300 million.

The company also said that it will reduce its hourly and salaried work force at certain marine plants by 1,000 and could cut 1,000 more employees as the company continues to undergo cost cutting efforts.

Shares edged down 2.32% or $0.28 to $11.77 out of the gate. For detailed price information and recent news stories about Brunswick, click BC.

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