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Kevin Pendley

Russell closes in the green as crude oil rejects morning peak

Small-cap stocks pushed higher Thursday, snapping a string of four consecutive losing days as investors found relief from an intraday reversal in crude oil prices. The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) closed up 5.90, or 0.81%, at 733.01.

“Today was all about reacting to crude oil. In fact, [Wednesday] was about crude oil and Friday is going to be about crude oil. When prices get this extreme at the gas pump, it really makes you wonder if we’re approaching the breaking point for the consumer. If they don’t have discretionary money to spend on things other than gas, then it’s going to have a negative rollover effect on everything else,” said Dominic Boyle, market strategist with Lind-Waldock, in a phone interview.

In order for equity markets to sustain the rally off the March lows, Boyle said, “we will have to get confirmation from crude” in the form of a top, or at least a dramatic slowdown in the escalation of energy prices. After a new record high overnight at $135 dollars a barrel, crude oil futures slipped back to about $131 during the U.S. trading session and left a little potential topping pattern by making new highs and closing lower.

As crude oil tilted off the highs today, the greenback chewed up some recent lost ground, rising about 0.6% against the euro and 1.2% versus the yen. In general, a strong dollar of late has been seen as a positive signal for equities, associated with investment flow into U.S. stocks, and potential unwinding of short dollar/long commodity trades.

In addition, some of today’s upbeat psychology may have been stoked by news of a big acquisition, with NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE:NRG) tendering a bid to purchase Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN) for a stock deal worth about $11 billion. If there are . . .

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Will Atkinson

Small caps rise on easing oil

Small-cap stocks opened flat, rose higher in morning trading, and have settled down in midday action. Investors were encouraged by easing crude oil and NRG Energy’s (NYSE:NRG) $11.3 billion offer to buy power generation company Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN). At 12:21 p.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 6.71, or 0.92%, at 733.82.

News that NRG Energy tendered a bid to buy Calpine Corp. for a stock deal worth $11 billion injected some enthusiasm back into the M&A picture, and played a supportive role in market psychology. Calpine shares were up 7.07% in midday trading.

Large caps in the news early today include Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), which tumbled 1.36% on news that its anti-smoking drug had serious side effects. Also, NetApp Inc. (Nasdaq:NTAP) tumbled about 6% as the company’s forward projections disappointed.
Among broad market sectors, apparel retailers, fabricated plastics and rubbers, catalog and mail order retailers and trucking companies were on the upside. Sectors attracting sellers include water transportation, oil well services and equipment, . . .

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Kevin Pendley

Modest rise as M&A talk, firm dollar counter rising crude

Small-cap shares opened flat and then edged higher, underpinned by news of a big-cap energy acquisition, a firm tone in the dollar, and ideas that Wednesday’s post-FOMC minutes slide was overdone. At 9:52 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 2.46, or 0.34%, at 729.56.

News that NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) tendered a bid to buy Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN) for a stock deal worth $11 billion injected some enthusiasm back into the M&A picture this morning, and played a supportive role in market psychology. Calpine shares were up 7.1% shortly after the opening on the news. If there are large-cap merger deals to be done, then there are certainly bargains to be had within small caps.

There are several apparel retailers coming out with earnings today, which could ripple through the markets. Children’s Place Retail Stores (Nasdaq:PLCE), which is right on the upper end of small-cap market capitalization, reported solid quarterly results this morning and the stock was up 6.2% right after the open.

Large caps in the news early today include Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), which tumbled 1% on the opening on news that its anti-smoking drug had serious side effects. Also, NetApp Inc. (Nasdaq:NTAP) tumbled 5.7% as the company’s forward projections disappointed.

Crude oil prices shot above $135 dollars a barrel overnight, and continue to be a drag on the both the consumer pocketbook and the cost structure for corporations (just ask the battered airline industry). Goldman Sachs technical analyst Kevin Edgeley said in a research report overnight that crude oil momentum and trend strength are pointing higher, and that there is a long-term channel extension target for crude at $142.90. If crude oil were to close lower today, and well off that $135 record overnight peak, it could generate a topping reversal on charts, and is worth . . .

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Kevin Pendley

Russell to open near steady levels

Small caps were expected to open near steady levels this morning, with caution from another jump in crude oil offset by enthusiasm about a new large-cap acquisition. In overnight trading, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was basically flat, while S&P 500 futures were just modestly above fair value.

The weekly unemployment claims report came in a little better than the forecast at 365,000 versus the expectation for 375,000. Equity futures were little changed immediately after the data.

Stock market activity overnight was flat to lower, with European shares hovering near steady levels, while Asia stocks were primarily lower. Hong Kong was off 1.6%, China down 1.9%, Singapore down 1.1% and Bombay lower by 1.9%.

There was news of a large-cap acquisition overnight between NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) and Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN), in an $11 billion stock deal that could energize the bullish argument somewhat today.

Other big caps in the news this morning included Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), which was off about 1.5% on news that their anti-smoking drug had side effect issues. Also, NetApp Inc. (Nasdaq:NTAP) was down a whopping 14% as the firm’s projected earnings and revenues were below analyst expectations. PetSmart Inc. (Nasdaq:PETM) shares were off more than 5% overnight on lower-than-expected forward guidance.

Crude oil spiked higher yet again overnight, this time topping $135 dollars . . .

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