Tag - Csnt

This morning it was reported that payrolls declined at a faster than expected rate and the unemployment rate rose to 9.5%. Neither of these are good news, and the stock market responded with a sharp sell-off. The Dow Industrials fell 212 points or 2.5%, the Nasdaq dropped 49 points or 2.67%, the S&P 500 fell 26 points or 2.8%. Small caps tend to lead, and today was no exception - the Russell 2000 was down 18 points or 3.5%.

Because we are heading into a holiday weekend, volume was on the light side.

Declining stocks outpaced advancing stocks by a 4 to 1 margin. The biggest loser on the day was Discovery Labs (Nasdaq:DSCO). The stock was cut in half after the FDA delay evaluation of the company's infant respiratory distress drug, Surfaxin.

Other top declining stocks include another biotech, Sepracor (Nasdaq:SEPR) which dropped 18% after it released disappointing trial results for a depression drug. The decliners list was littered with regional bank stocks too, including Park Bancorp (Nasdaq:PFED) down 25%, and Starling Banks (Nasdaq:STBK) down 17%.

Ironically, several regional banks made today's top advancing stocks list. Crescent Banking Co. (Nasdaq:CSNT) led the way with a 47% gain. OakRidge Financial Services (Nasdaq:BKOR) rose 25% and Virginia Commerce Bancorp (Nasdaq:VCBI) rose 17%.

NaviSite (Nasdaq:NAVI) rose 23% on heavy volume on news of a lawsuit settlement. And Matrixx Initiatives (Nasdaq:MTXX) rounds out the big winners with a 18% gain.

*****And so it begins. I'm talking about earnings estimate revisions for banks. And yes, they are headed lower. First up is Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS). Credit Suisse analyst Howard Chen was expecting a profit of $0.80 a share. Now he says a $0.40 loss is more likely.  

Oppenheimer's Chris Kotowski dropped his expected $0.20 per share loss to $0.94 per share.  

Ironically, part of the reason for the downward revisions is Morgan Stanley's credit quality. But even this is misleading. Accounting rule changes earlier this year allowed falling prices for a company's debt to be treated as a profit on the assumption that the company could show a paper profit by buying back debt at a price lower than what it was sold for.  

Make sense. If you sell a bond at $1 and can buy it back for $0,50, you've essentially made $0.50. But of course, no banks actually did this. They didn't have the cash on hand to buy back debt, because one of the reasons a company's debt falls in value is because investors realize the company has assets that are worth less. In the case of the banks, these impaired assets are often non-performing loans or mortgage related securities.  

As these assets fall in value, the banks have to hold more loss reserves. That, of course precludes them from buying back their own debt.  

*****It should be obvious that accounting rules allowing banks to treat falling prices for its own debt as profits is a complete sham. The measure is a bookkeeping trick designed to let the banks appear healthier while they get their act together. It's just buying time.  

Will it be enough time? I don't see how that's possible, and I've outlined my reasoning over the last few days. Basically, unemployment is still rising (the unemployment rate hit 9.5% today) and the improvement in the housing market appears to be temporary based on foreclosure sales and government mortgage assistance. Some see "green shoots" here. I don't. 

*****There's at least one IPO market getting ready to heat up. No, it's not the U.S. It's China. As many as 100 Chinese companies may be getting ready to list their shares in Hong Kong. And many will come calling for inclusion on U.S. indices as well.  
The first company that will float their shares to the public will be a holding company that's constructing high-speed railroads between Shanghai and Beijing. The $5 billion China expects to raise will go to expand other railways. 
Bloomberg reports that since China announced its $585 billion stimulus plan, it's more than doubled its spending on railroads.  

This is more evidence that China is one of the few countries in the world that can actually grow its economy without taking on massive debt. I view this as very bullish and it's why I've been recommending Chinese stocks frequently in my SmallCapInvestor PRO advisory service. To discover what we're buying to take advantage of China's stimulus spending, click HERE. 

*****Here's TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts' Jason Cimpl with his weekly video chart analysis. I've really been enjoying his analysis. And his TradeMaster readers enjoy the profits it leads to. But I'd like to hear from you.

*****Finally, I want to wish everyone a great 4th of July holiday. And if you're driving, do it safely. Let's get everyone home safe. I'll talk to you on Monday.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) closed lower on news that Wachovia Corp. (NYSE:WB) suffered a first-quarter loss. The small-cap index fell 2.09 points, or 0.30%, to 686.07. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 23.36 points, or 0.19%, to 12,302.06.

On a year-to-date basis, the Russell 2000 has shed 10.44%, while the Dow is off 7.26% and the S&P 500 is down 9.54%.

The bears and the bulls tangled but the bears were eventually victorious as investors reacted to news before the opening that Wachovia Corp. (NYSE:WB) swung to a first-quarter loss and will sell common and preferred stock to raise capital.

The Charlotte, N.C.-based bank has been relatively less exposed to the subprime mortgage mess than the other major financial institutions, leading to speculation that more players will report losses.

Banks were among the worst hit industry groups today. Among those . . .

Crescent Banking Co. (Nasdaq:CSNT), Babcock & Brown Air Ltd. (NYSE:FLY) and FirstFed Financial Corp. (NYSE:FED) were among the new 52-week lows established during Monday's trading among companies with market capitalizations or values under $750 million.

Provident Community Bancshares Inc. (Nasdaq:PCBS), Cooperative Bankshares, Inc. (Nasdaq:COOP) and Downey Financial Corp. (NYSE:DSL) were also among the 52-week small-cap lows.

Here are today's 52-week small-cap lows:

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) is gaining ground on the second-to-last trading day of the year amid news of possible asset sales by big banks. However, gains are being tempered by news of new home sales in the U.S., which fell more than expected during November. After trading above 782, the Russell dipped to 776 almost immediately after the housing data was released.

The Commerce Department reported that sales of new U.S. homes fell by 9% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 647,000. Economists were expecting that new home sales would fall to 715,000 from 728,000 in October.

At 11:27 a.m. ET, the small-cap index was up 4.92 points, or 0.64%, to 778.43. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) was up 26.98 points, or 0.2%, to 13,386.59.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) and HSBC Holdings are among U.S. and European banks that are considering major asset sales, The Wall Street Journal is reporting this morning. Citigroup could sell an 80%-held student loan, its North American auto-lending unit, its 24% stake in Brazil credit-card operation Redecard and the bank's Japanese consumer finance business. HSBC might liquidate its auto-finance business.

In other economic news, the Chicago arm of the National Association of Purchasing Managers reported that business activity in the Chicago area expanded in December, which topped expectations