Tag - Cvly

Valley Financial Corp (Nasdaq:VYFC), Codorus VY Bancorp Inc (Nasdaq:CVLY), Natures Sunshine Products Inc (Nasdaq:NATR) and Tennessee Commerce Bancorp Inc (Nasdaq:TNCC) are among the biggest percentage Gainers in Thursday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $1 billion.

Stocks were mixed today as the both the Dow and S&P 500 closed down while the Nasdaq was up. Falling oil prices and continued investor unease over earnings sent stocks mostly lower for the day.

The Dow closed down 36 points to 8,146, the Nasdaq closed up 3 points to 1,756, and the S&P 500 closed down 4 points to end the week at 879.

The Russell 2000, a widely-followed bellwether index for small-cap stocks, closed up almost 2 points to end the week at 481.

Advancers in the small-cap space were lead today by MTR Gaming (Nasdaq:MNTG) up 51% on heavier than average volume. Through its subsidiary organizations, MTR Gaming engages in the racing, gaming, and entertainment businesses. With nearly 3,000 employees, MTR Gaming's properties include Presque Isle Downs & Casino and Mountaineer Casino in West Virginia.

Other small-cap winners include yesterday's leading decliner, American International Group (NYSE:AIG) up 24%; Dana Holding Corp. (NYSE:DAN) up 38% on news of an analyst upgrade based on the firm's improved liquidity situation; and A-Power Energy Generation Systems (Nasdaq:APWR) up 17% on announcing a signed agreement to build an offshore liquefied natural gas facility near Macau, China.

Decliners include Community West Bancshares (Nasdaq:CWBC) down 21%; Cordus Valley Bancorp (Nasdaq:CVLY) down 13%; and Tower Financial Corporation (Nasdaq:TOFC) down 12%.

*****Oil dropped below $60 a barrel as consumer confidence came in below expectations. The belief is that when the American consumer is not confident, he or she does not spend money.  

That's true to an extent. A brief look at airfare and hotel deals will tell you that Americans are not traveling as much as we have in the past. Indeed, just visit Yahoo! News and put in the term "hotel bankruptcy" and you get over 1,100 results with articles highlighting the latest hotel bankruptcies: tough time to be in the hospitality business.  

And retail sales showed clearly that we aren't headed to the mall as much, either. But iPhones seem to be selling pretty well. And foreclosure sales have been going pretty well, too.  

As for oil, the schizophrenic International Energy Agency (IEA) just raised its demand forecast for 2010 by 1.4 million barrels a day. Seems like the IEA was just lowering estimates a couple weeks ago.  

In any event, after taking profits on oil positions in my Top Stock Insights and SmallCapInvestor PRO advisory services, I'll be looking to buy oil stocks again sometime in the next couple of months. That's because demand is only half the story on oil. (Click here to find out more about Top Stock Insights and click here for SmallCapInvestor PRO.) 

Oil companies are not investing as much to bring new supply on line. So when demand does return, companies won't be able to ramp supply quickly enough. This will lead to demand outstripping supply. And prices will rise. In fact, some believe supply and demand will reach parity in 5 years or less. That's a dangerous situation. And as an investor, you are almost obligated to own oil stocks.  

*****"We are at the cusp of stabilization…" So says Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Securities. Economists are raising their growth forecasts for the second half of 2009 from 1.2% to 1.5%.  

Granted, that's not a big move, but we'll take what we can get. And maybe a little bullish talk will help consumer confidence.

Of course, consumers will probably notice when unemployment averages 9.8% in 2010. The U.S. economy has changed in some fundamental ways. The auto and finance industry job cuts may well be permanent. And it could take a few years for new jobs to be created.  

*****Cold War politics are alive and well. At the G-8 meeting in Italy, Russian president Medvedev pulled a coin from his pocket that he said represents the new world currency. Medvedev even has the motto for this global currency worked out - "unity in diversity" is printed on the coin that was minted in Belgium. Quaint, isn't it?  
What does Russia hope to gain with this tactic? Nobody wants to buy their bonds. And a global currency won't give Russia any new influence. Oil is priced in dollars, but even then, a new currency won't affect oil's value, only its relative price. 

So it would seem that Russia is simply messing with the U.S. And that's a strategy that could backfire, mainly because Russia has no leverage. I'd expect to see other countries come out in support of the U.S. dollar just because Russia doesn't like it.  
*****Now, here's TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts' Jason Cimpl with his weekly video chart analysis. Enjoy! Click here to view the video.

P.S. Next Wednesday I'm releasing an update to my Predictions issue for Top Stock Insights. We did the first issue of it back in January to lay out how investors should invest in 2009. We were spot on and make huge profits for subscribers. This new update comes at a time when the market rally appears to be petering out and investors really need solid data and investment ideas. Click here to sign up for your copy and a 30-day trial to the service.

Stocks moved higher today after several positive reports reversed early downward trading trends. Investors initially drove down stocks on news that first time unemployment claims increased by 15,000 last week.

Gains were made in homebuilders like Lennar (NYSE:LEN), KB Homes (NYSE:KBH), and Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) as well as retailers like Bed Bath & Beyond (Nasdaq:BBBY), Kirkland's (Nasdaq:KIRK), and Pier One (NYSE:PIR). Both sectors have seen bankruptcies (Linens and Things, Circuit City, among others) and layoffs over the past year as the souring economy has brought housing starts to a crawl and forced consumers to pull back in discretionary spending.

The broader indexes were up today with the Dow finishing at 8,472.40, the Nasdaq showing positive gains to close up 37.2 points to close at 1,829.54, and the S&P 500 posting a 2.14% gain to close at 920.26.

Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 helped propel that index 2.87% to close at 509.14 today.

Leading small-cap gainer was Jazz Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq:JAZZ) up 37% on news that the late-stage results for its fibromyalgia drug had met the company's main goal. The drug, Xyrem, is scheduled to be submitted for marketing approval. Gains in Jazz shares outpaced gains made by other, better known, pharmaceutical manufacturers including Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Merck (NYSE:MRK), and share price losses posted by GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK).

As we've mentioned in previous updates, this follows a general trend of sector rotation as investors are looking for more defensive plays, like healthcare and pharma, over the summer.

Other small-cap gainers for today include CPI International (Nasdaq:CPII) up 32%; Tween Brands (NYSE:TWB) up 27% on news that Dress Barn (Nasdaq:DBRN) will buy it for roughly $157 million in stock; Royale Energy (Nasdaq:ROYL) up 32.5%, an energy company involved in development and exploration of natural gas and oil in California, Texas, and the Rocky Mountain region.

Small-cap decliners were lead by medical oral diagnostics maker OraSure Technologies (Nasdaq:OSUR) down 23% on news that it needs to conduct more additional clinical trials to get approval for its hepatitis C virus test. The exact timing and costs for these additional tests have not been disclosed by OraSure and investors drove down share prices based on this uncertainty.

A number full of other small-cap stocks were big decliners today including data marketing services provider Acxiom Corporation (Nasdaq:ACXM) down 22%; Capital Bank Corporation (Nasdaq:CBKN) down 20%; and Cordorus Valley Bancorp (Nasdaq:CVLY) down 19%.

The Fed has spoken. Interest rates are not going higher anytime soon. And the Fed announced no change to its $1.75 bond purchase program. Bonds sold off, suggesting that traders hoped the Fed would do more to put a floor under prices.  

The Fed made it a point to say that "…inflation will remain subdued for some time." But the Fed also hasn't made any comments about target levels of inflation, or what levels of inflation would make it uncomfortable. With the amount of money being pumped into the system, this is a concern to me. Especially with commodity prices rising and the spread between 10-year Treasuries and 10-year inflation adjusted bonds (TIPS) increasing over the last month.  

*****Nothing will kill whatever recovery the Fed and others see coming faster than higher interest rates fueled by inflation fears.  

Most signs point to an imminent economic recovery. No one thinks it will be strong. But two straight months of increase for Durable Goods orders has most convinced that recovery, and a small level of inflation, is here.  

The Fed, in the other hand, is still fighting deflation. Unemployment is still on the rise, and modest improvement in the housing market doesn't mean we're anywhere close to working off the massive inventory of unsold homes. 

Given the very low expectations for economic recovery, maybe 2% growth in 2010, how does the Fed hike interest rates and start sopping up liquidity? I believe inflation will have to become a concern before the Fed can act.  

*****In case you missed last night's special Internet Video Conference, called Inflation Busters: Discover the Stocks to Grow and Protect Your Wealth, I have a replay ready for you. You can access it HERE.   

*****Reuter's reported yesterday that Rep. Barney Frank and another Democrat wrote a letter to the CEOs of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae asking them to relax their standards for condo loans.  

Apparently Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae recently said they wouldn't give loans to potential condo buyers if the condo development was less than 70% occupied. Makes sense, these days. But Frank and his friend are worried the tighter standards will impair the housing market and constrict future developments. 

This is appalling. The only thing we need more than more condos is more Hummers.  
If the government truly thinks we can simply reflate our way back to prosperity, they are sadly mistaken. This recession is new animal, one where both consumers and corporations took on way too much debt. That debt now sits in the form of unsold homes, many of which have been foreclosed upon. 

These homes (and condos) must get sold. But they must get sold to people with the means to pay the loans. Simply lowering lending standards doesn't do it and may well prolong the pain of this recession. Isn't the lowering of lending standards much of what got us into this mess to begin with? 

*****China's still throwing its cash around, this time offering $7.2 billion for oil exploration company Addax Petroleum (LSE:AXC.L). It would be state-run Sinopec (NYSE:SNP) actually doing the deal. But after the attempt to buy a $19 billion stake in Rio Tinto (NYSE:RTP) it should be obvious that China is intent on securing the commodities it needs. 

And in a world starved for cash, don't be surprised when China gets what it wants.  

*****Last year, travel group AAA reported that car travel over the 4th of July was down 10.5%. This year, it will fall another 1.9%.  Airline travel is expected to be up nearly 5%.  

Small-cap stocks pushed higher in early trading Wednesday, supported by scattered bargain hunting after the big downside press Tuesday on disappointment over a lack of details in the bank rescue plan. Bank, financial and commodity stocks were among the leaders on the early rise today after getting battered Tuesday. At 9:53 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 5.41, or 1.21%, at 451.17.

Investors will continue to keep a close eye on developments out of Washington today, with hearings slated on the first distribution of the TARP funds, ongoing banter about the stimulus plan and any “damage control” following Tuesday’s messy response to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s rollout of the bank bail out package.

The MBA Mortgage Applications Index fell 24.5% in this week’s report, slipping back to the lowest level since November. The purchase sub-index was down 9.8% to the lowest level since December 2000 and this decline in mortgage activity took place even though mortgage rates actually edged slightly lower in the latest week.

“Despite this week's decline in fixed mortgage rates, mortgage rates have drifted higher since the beginning of the year,” Steven Wood, chief economist with Insight Economics, said in an email. “As a result, mortgage activity has collapsed since the first of the year. Moreover, these data are for applications, not approvals; anecdotal evidence indicates that fall out rates are running as high as 50% so the actual effects on economic activity are far weaker than these data indicate. The housing market is still mired in a deep recession with no indication that a bottom has yet been reached,” Wood said.

In addition to the MBA report, the monthly trade report was released and showed the smallest trade gap in nearly six years, but that gap was still a tad bigger than expected. The report reflected the lowest auto import figure in some 10 . . .