Tag - Mipi

Early morning weakness in the markets was made up during the afternoon trading hours. The Dow closed just slightly down at 8,497 for a loss of 0.09%. The Nasdaq was up 0.66% for a close of 1,808 and the S&P 500 lost 0.14% to close today at 910.

Small-cap stock investors were rewarded with a 0.65% gain on the Russell 2000 index, a composition of the 2,000 largest small-cap stocks, that closed at 507 today.

Pharma continued it's leadership position in small-caps with Molecular Insight Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq:MIPI) up 41.3% today as money continues to move into healthcare stocks. Blue Chip pharma stocks followed their upward trajectory, though not nearly as much as small-caps put in, with Abbot Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) up 2.7%, Merck (NYSE:MRK) moved up 1.5%, and Johnson and Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) posted a 1.2% gain.

The other small-cap leader in pharma was Savient (Nasdaq:SVNT) up 35.5% after receiving the recommendation from a panel of arthritis experts who suggested the Food and Drug Administration approved Savient's new gout drug. By a vote of 14 to 1 the panel recommended that the firm's drug, KRYSTEXXA, be granted marketing approval by the FDA. The action date for the FDA's decision is currently set for August 1, 2009.

Other small-cap gainers for today include Alvarion (Nasdaq:ALVR) up 18.3% on news of its $100 million contract with Open Range Communications; Cayman Islands based United America Indemnity (Nasdaq:INDM), a provider of property and casualty insurance products, up 16.4%; and Connecticut based MTM Technologies (Nasdaq:MTM), up 42.8%.

Decliners were lead by Star Scientific (Nasdaq:STSI) which shed 73% off it's opening price to close today at $1.13. Star lost its patent suit against No. 2 cigarette maker RJ Reynolds Tobacco, a unit of Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI). It alleged that RJ Reynolds had infringed in its patents related to the way of growing and treating tobacco plants to prevent nitrosamines from forming. It's believed that in reducing nitrosamines that the cancer-causing agents in tobacco can be significantly reduced. The jury ruled not only that the patents were invalid, but that they should not have been issues. Star said it would seek a new trial or appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals.

Other small-cap decliners were lead by financials including National Penn Bancshares (Nasdaq:NPBC) down 23.2%; First Financial Service Corp. (Nasdaq:FFKY) down 18.5%; and Provident Community Bancshares (Nasdaq:PCBS) down 16.4%. Larger capitalization bank shares were not immune to the sell-off in financials with Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) all declining today.

*****On Monday, an influential bank analyst raised his price target for Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to $19. That implies a 40% jump for BAC. Curiously, this particular analyst didn't cite any improvements to the business or strength in the bank's balance sheet. Rather, he based his analysis on improving investor sentiment.

I don't know about you, but I'm not running out and buying a stock - especially a bank stock - just because investors feel better. No, I'm going to need to see actual evidence that conditions for banks are improving before I wade into those murky waters.

So far, the improvements we've seen in bank fundamentals have been based on accounting changes and government stimulus for the housing market. These measures don't fix the problem; they simply make the symptoms look better.

*****To underscore this point, S&P just cut its ratings on 22 banks because of the potential for further weakening in the sector. The S&P analyst had this to say:

"We believe the banking industry is undergoing a structural transformation that may include radical changes with permanent repercussions…Financial institutions are now shedding balance sheet risk and altering funding profiles and strategies for the marketplace's new reality. Such a transition period justifies lower ratings as industry players implement changes."

Bank of America was not among the banks whose outlook was cut by S&P. And I don't care. So long as the sector is weak and the economy is struggling I'm not going anywhere near banks stocks, improved investor sentiment or not.

*****I know Cold War politics are long over, and that Russia and the U.S. are no longer vying for supremacy, but I still can't help thinking "In your face, Russia" when I read that dollar denominated bonds sold by Russia, China and Brazil performed far better than bonds denominated in those countries own currency.

Russian and Brazilian bonds lost money. China's yuan denominated bonds posted small gains. In every case, dollar denominated bonds made money.

It should be obvious that the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) demand that the world's reserve currency should be manipulated to weaken the influence of the dollar is pure politickin'. Or in the words of a currency strategist quoted by Bloomberg, "It's not up to politicians to determine which currency will be the world reserve currency…In the end the market decides it."

In this case, it should be apparent that the market has spoken.

*****So I won't buy their debt, but I will buy Chinese stocks. Yesterday,   SmallCapInvestor PRO added another Chinese stock to the portfolio. China's one of the few countries in the world that's posting any growth. And investors should absolutely own some Chinese stocks right now. If you want to find out what we're holding in SmallCapInvestor PRO just click HERE.

The Russell staged a dramatic comeback today, closing up nearly 7% and rejecting an intraday slide to the second-lowest point in more than five years to notch the third-largest one-day gain of the year. The Russell is now off 30% for 2008, while the Dow is down 32% and the S&P 500 is off 35%. Today’s small-cap gainers are UAL Corp. (Nasdaq:UAUA), TechTarget (Nasdaq:TTGT) and Molecular Insight Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq:MIPI). Other Market Watch highlights today included:

• The industrial production report released this morning pegged output down 2.8%; the forecast was for -0.8%.
• The CBOE Volatility Index (a good indicator of the level of fear in the markets) hits a record high.
• The market continues to slide after the Philly Fed diffusion index fell to -37.5 in Oct. from +3.8 in Sept., its largest 1-month decline ever. 
• Chartist Kevin Pendley: Today marked the most solid chart action we have seen since this whole collapse kicked into gear in late September. 
• Crude oil extended slide after inventory data, dipped below $70 at one point today.
• The best performing areas today are coal, education services, agriculture products, footwear companies, food retail firms, airlines, gas utilities and steel stocks. 
• On the downside, life health insurers, gold, paper products, . . .

Small-cap stocks climbed to an impressive rally Thursday, quickly putting aside any downward momentum from Wednesday’s historic collapse. Investors were picking through the rubble for bargains, and also appeared to be testing the waters for a potential bottom. Traders had to endure choppy waters as the market traded more than 3% on both sides of the ledger, buffeted about by mixed economic data. The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) closed up 34.46, or 6.86%, at 536.57, rejecting an intraday slide to the second-lowest point in more than five years to notch the third-largest one-day gain of the year. The Russell is now off 30% for 2008, while the Dow is down 32% and the S&P 500 is off 35%.

One encouraging element of the recovery move today was that small caps paced the move over the Dow and S&P 500 – even when the market struggled in the midday time frame. In addition, today marked the most solid chart action that we have seen since this whole collapse kicked into gear in late September. The Russell had a decent test of the recent lows without violating the bottom, then closed strong, which is a positive signal. In addition, the market has now left twin long “wicks” on the major low testing days, which is a form of a double bottom. It should be noted that these signs are on daily charts, and it will take a more dynamic formation on weekly charts to support any bottoming theory at this stage of things.

Even investors playing for a bottom that don’t watch chart dynamics have their own story to hang a hat on right now. Some of those elements include: (a) signs that frozen credit markets are starting to thaw vis-à-vis the pullback in Libor rates; (b) various valuation tools suggest the market is a bargain; (c) a majority of market pundits believe that the market has either made the lows, or is close to the low, which means downside risk might not be that bad compared to upside gain; (d) governments around the world have poured hundreds of billions into financial systems, which will stabilize the market. And even though economic statistics are truly . . .

Small-cap stocks pushed higher on the opening, powered by a decent corrective bounce in the wake of Wednesday’s epic collapse. Bargain hunters were back nibbling in stocks after this morning’s initial batch of non-manufacturing economic indicators came in relatively mild and didn’t serve up any stunners like Wednesday’s huge drop in retail sales. In addition to the tame economic data, Libor inter-bank lending rates slipped in European trading, which bolsters confidence that frozen credit lines and lending mistrust is thawing as governments around the world push liquidity into the system and guarantee loans. At 10:02 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 11.18, or 2.23%, at 513.28.

After wholesale prices (PPI) came in near the forecast Wednesday, consumer prices (CPI) were slightly better than projected, but it’s really no surprise that inflation fears have receded — after all, crude oil prices are at 13-month lows and commodities in general are at the lowest level in three years. More importantly, the weekly unemployment claims release was better than feared, with 461,000 people filing for unemployment insurance in the latest week, down from the forecast of 470,000. Still, 461,000 is a very big number historically and the four-week moving average on claims is still at a seven-year peak. Analytically, there is a case to be made that jobs data will continue to look awful for some time, but will be a lagging element on the recovery story. That argument will gain favor from investors looking for last week’s lows to be a major turning point for the stock market.

However, stock index futures started to trim away gains after a horrendous industrial production report came out just ahead of the opening at 9:15 a.m. ET. Output tumbled 2.8%, much worse than the forecast for a decline of 0.8% and the slide represented the biggest decline in nearly 34 years. Hurricane Gustav and a strike at aircraft maker Boeing exaggerated the decline in output. Industrial production data seldom sparks a big move in the market nowadays, and clearly investors were looking at other factors this morning if they were able to shrug off this weak report in favor of the relatively painless inflation and jobs reports earlier this morning. The Dow and S&P 500 slipped back into the red briefly after the Philly Fed survey came out well below the forecast, mirroring sobering news on the manufacturing front that we’ve . . .

Small-cap stocks gyrated between positive and negative territory in the first half hour of trading as record-high crude oil prices, safe-haven flow away from stocks and steep declines in global markets overnight countered a decent personal income report. The market was oversold after Thursday’s collapse, and price action could be choppy ahead of the end of the quarter. At 10:03 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 1.62, or 0.23%, at 700.04.

The Michigan sentiment survey slipped to 56.4, which was slightly below the forecast of 57, but the number was not enough of a surprise to spark a big move in stocks.

The personal income report headline figure jumped 1.9%, which was well beyond the median forecast for a rise of 0.7%. However, when discounting the impact of the tax stimulus checks, real income was only up 0.4%. The May PCE deflator was up 0.1%, which was better than the forecast for a rise of 0.2%, which sparked a pre-opening bounce off overnight lows in stock index futures.

“Real consumer spending jumped in May, boosted by the tax stimulus checks,” Steven Wood, chief economist with Insight Economics, said in an email. “This will allow consumer spending to rebound and keep Q2 growth positive (albeit weak). After the rebate checks are spent, ongoing job losses will weaken income growth, slow consumer spending and dampen economic growth during the second half of the year. Eventually, weak economic growth will dampen inflation — at least that’s the FOMC’s hope,” Wood said.

Despite the mild upbeat news from personal income data, the market still was on edge about crude oil prices, which climbed to a fresh record high overnight above $142 dollars a barrel. Crude prices backed off toward $140 into the stock market . . .

Small-cap shares opened flat and then edged higher, underpinned by news of a big-cap energy acquisition, a firm tone in the dollar, and ideas that Wednesday’s post-FOMC minutes slide was overdone. At 9:52 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 2.46, or 0.34%, at 729.56.

News that NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) tendered a bid to buy Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN) for a stock deal worth $11 billion injected some enthusiasm back into the M&A picture this morning, and played a supportive role in market psychology. Calpine shares were up 7.1% shortly after the opening on the news. If there are large-cap merger deals to be done, then there are certainly bargains to be had within small caps.

There are several apparel retailers coming out with earnings today, which could ripple through the markets. Children’s Place Retail Stores (Nasdaq:PLCE), which is right on the upper end of small-cap market capitalization, reported solid quarterly results this morning and the stock was up 6.2% right after the open.

Large caps in the news early today include Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), which tumbled 1% on the opening on news that its anti-smoking drug had serious side effects. Also, NetApp Inc. (Nasdaq:NTAP) tumbled 5.7% as the company’s forward projections disappointed.

Crude oil prices shot above $135 dollars a barrel overnight, and continue to be a drag on the both the consumer pocketbook and the cost structure for corporations (just ask the battered airline industry). Goldman Sachs technical analyst Kevin Edgeley said in a research report overnight that crude oil momentum and trend strength are pointing higher, and that there is a long-term channel extension target for crude at $142.90. If crude oil were to close lower today, and well off that $135 record overnight peak, it could generate a topping reversal on charts, and is worth . . .

Small-cap shares opened higher Monday, lifted by advances in overseas equity markets, a firm U.S. dollar and a dip in crude oil prices. At 9:55 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up 0.86, or 0.12%, at 720.91.

The U.S. dollar was up nearly 1% against the yen into the market open, and pushed about 0.2% higher versus the euro. The firm dollar tone was linked to a $2-per-barrel pullback in crude oil futures, which came off Friday’s record highs amid profit-taking.

Financial shares could find a boost this morning from a jump in the largest European bank HSBC, which climbed about 2% overnight on profit news. Early on this morning, Citigroup (NYSE:C) was up 0.6% and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) was up about 0.8%. Other large-caps of note included Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), which was up 1.2% shortly after the opening on optimism ahead of earnings. Research in Motion (Nasdaq:RIMM) jumped 2.4% on news that the company was unveiling a new BlackBerry Bold Smartphone.

A massive earthquake in China overnight caught trader attention, but a lack of details seemed to leave the market without a feeling for whether or not it would have an impact on equities in the United States.

Looking ahead to this week’s action, the economic calendar picks up steam after a relatively tame risk quotient last week. Not only will the market have to navigate through a batch of important data on retail sales, inflation and housing starts, but there is a glut of Federal Reserve speakers on the docket.

Speaking of Fed speakers, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans was the first one up to the plate this morning, saying that housing was still a drag on the economy, and that growth risks were to the downside, but inflation risk was on the upside. He said that U.S. growth should improve in the second half of the year, but . . .

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) fell today on news that reminded investors of the fallout from the subprime mortgage mess. The small-cap index retreated 7.91 points, or 1.04%, to 752.06. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) was off 65.84 points, or 0.49%, to 13,248.73.

On a year-to-date basis, the Russell 2000 has dropped 4.49%, while the Dow has advanced 6.21% and the S&P 500 has gained 3.26%.

Only the bears showed up today following news that financial services giant JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) downgraded fellow industry players Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) to “sell” from “market perform.”

The news spooked investors who worried that a stagnating U.S. housing market could continue to plague banks and financial institutions and cause more economic malaise, possibly even triggering a recession.

All three New York-based financial services companies had invested in securities backed by subprime mortgages and took a hit during the third-quarter, declaring billions in write-downs on mortgage and other credit assets.

Economists worry that the ongoing slump in the U.S. housing sector and a credit squeeze will combine to significantly drag down U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2007 and into 2008.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) opened in negative territory as credit jitters continue to weigh down the financial sector.

At 10:26 a.m. ET, the small-cap index was down 6.54 points, or 0.86%, to 753.43. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) had lost 36.25 points, or 0.27%, to 13,278.32.

The futures were pointing down and stocks predictably opened with a drop on news that JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) downgraded Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) to “sell” from “market perform.”

All three New York-based financial services companies had invested in securities backed by subprime mortgages and have been negatively affected by the slump in the U.S. housing sector.

Financial stocks have been taking a beating over the past months, and today JPMorgan lowered its estimates for the sector’s fiscal fourth quarter and 2008.