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Ian Wyatt

Zion Oil and Gas (ZN) Leads Small Cap Gains

Stocks were poised to open lower today and but for a brief few minutes in early trade they generally lived up to the prediction. The Dow shaved 34 points to close at 8,439. The S&P 500 sank 1.5 points to 919, while the Nasdaq closed up 9 points to end the day at 1,838.

Stocks in the Russell 2000 Index, a composite of the 2,000 largest small-cap stocks, bucked the downward trend for the index to close at 513, up 0.78%.

While there was good news about a very modest increase in spending rates, investors seemed most concerned about the boost to the U.S. savings rate to 6.9 percent, up from 5.6 percent in April and significantly up from rates below 1 percent for the period 2005 through 2007. While this could bode well for the longer term economic health of the U.S. economy many analysts see it merely as a side effect to consumer concerns about layoffs, cutbacks, and furloughs.

The increase in the savings rate has come at the expense of consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70 percent of the U.S. economy. Indeed, many retailers have been battered over the past several quarters as Americans concerned they may receive a pink slip any day shut their wallets to defer spending and switch to lower cost brands for necessities.

Among the stand-outs in retailing are Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), and Costco (NYSE:COST). Despite more consumers turning to discount retailers, both WMT and COST have seen year to date share price declines. TGT shares are up nearly 20% for the year.

Despite the modest increase in household spending, retailers are girding for continued earnings pressures as American families prepare for unemployment to reach 10% later this year, up from the current 9.4%.

Leading small-cap gainers today was Zion Oil & Gas (AMEX:ZN) up 76%. Zion runs as a development stage oil and gas exploration firm. Based in Dallas, Texas, the firm holds exploration licenses for onshore development in Israel.

Other small-cap leaders included Cardium Therapeutics (AMEX:CXM) up 48%; Schmitt Industries (Nasdaq:SMIT) up 45%; and Caraco Pharmaceutical Laboratories (AMEX:CPD) up 35%.

Decliners were lead by Design Within Reach (Nasdaq: DWRI), a San Francisco-based furniture store, down 41% after announcing that it expects to delist from the Nasdaq on July 16 with trading ceasing July 6. DWRI has had trouble keeping its share price above $1.00 (a key Nasdaq requirement) for most of 2009 and has indicated that it does not have the working capital to meet the Nasdaq's requirements for staying listed.

Besides DWRI, small-cap price decliners were lead by NewBridge Bancorp (Nasdaq:NBBC) down 37%; Cano Petroleum (AMEX:CFW) down 25%; and Cumulus Media (Nasdaq:CMLS), also down 25%.

Yesterday, the Fed scaled back two of its liquidity-providing programs and announced it would let a third one expire on July 1, 2009.  

Each program was designed to provide liquidity to securities dealers and money-market funds that couldn't raise funds in the capital markets. The Fed noted that none of the programs were used anywhere close to capacity. And the improving economy and loosening of credit markets has made the programs less necessary. 

Investors took this as good news because it suggests the economy and financial system is starting to stand on its own. It's also good news because it shows the Fed is willing to be somewhat proactive in shutting off liquidity.  

To me, this is more important. 

*****In one form or another, the U.S. government has made (read:created) something like $11 trillion available to fight this recession. (I'm not sure anyone knows the exact number.) The government has been widely praised for its response to the financial crisis. Its moves are credited with averting a more serious problem.  

But that's only half the job, and it's the easy half, at that. I expect many of you have seen how a toddler reacts when it's time to give up the pacifier. Kicking and screaming is an understatement. And that's exactly how it will happen when the Fed really starts taking away the liquidity pacifier for good.  

Alan Greenspan never had the stones to give the U.S. economy the tough love it needed. And Wall Street became a spoiled bunch of delinquents.  

Will Bernanke have what it takes to guide the U.S. economy from dependent child to responsible adult? We'll see. And we better hope so, because I suspect the stakes are even higher this time around…  

*****While the U.S. is creating debt to support its economy, China is using its currency surplus to secure raw materials. I mentioned yesterday that China's state-run oil company Sinopec (NYSE:SNP) is trying to acquire an oil exploration company for $7.2 billion. And it wasn't that long ago that China tried to take a $19 billion stake in mining giant Rio Tinto (NYSE:RTP).  

When you're an investor, you have to be worried about opportunity cost. That's the cost of profits that you could have made, if your investment capital wasn't tied up in under-performing or illiquid assets.  

Right now, and probably into the future, the U.S. will be suffering opportunity cost as so much of our resources are tied up in simply supporting our economy. 

*****Case in point: Iraq. Iraq is one the verge of opening the deal-making process for international oil companies to upgrade Iraq's oil fields. This promises to be a very convoluted process - the Kurds and Parliament want input and the current oil minister appears ready to bypass them both.  

All Iraqis realize how important oil, and oil revenue, is to their future, and they're all fighting to get a piece of the action and avoid the exploitive situation that occurred before Saddam Hussein kicked Big Oil out of Iraq. 

For this reason, the proposed development contracts are not guaranteed. There is the risk that a subsequent Iraq government could nullify them and there would be no recourse.  

The risks are high enough that Exxon-Mobil (NYSE:XOM) isn't even sure yet if it will enter the bidding process. But I'll bet you dollars to doughnuts that Sinopec's parent company, China National Petroleum & Chemical Corp. will be bidding.  
Now, obviously, the recession has nothing to do with Exxon's uncertainty. But for China's state-run oil companies, national interests are sometimes more important than profits. And that can be a good thing.

*****Now, here's Jason Cimpl's video analysis of this week's action and look ahead to next week. So far he's batting a thousand. You can view the video HERE or go directly to trademasterstocks.com/videoreport. 

 

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Will Atkinson

Occam Networks, Fuwei Films and Schmitt Industries lead small-cap percentage losers

Occam Networks, Inc. (Nasdaq: OCNW), Fuwei Films Co., Ltd (Nasdaq: FFHL) and Schmitt Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: SMIT) are among the biggest percentage losers in Tuesday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $750 million.

Here are today's biggest percentage losers:

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Will Atkinson

Biggest Thursday small-cap percentage losers: Schmitt Industries Inc., DRAXIS Health Inc., NVE Corp.

Schmitt Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: SMIT), DRAXIS Health Inc. (Nasdaq: DRAX) and NVE Corp. (Nasdaq: NVEC) are the biggest percentage losers in Thursday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $500 million.

Here are today's biggest percentage losers:

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Alex Alexandrov

Schmitt Industries down on Q4 profit decline

Shares of balance equipment maker Schmitt Industries Inc. (Nasdaq: SMIT) are lower following news of a decline in fourth-quarter profit.

The net income for the three months ended May 31 was $0.36 million, or $0.13 per share, compared with a net income of $0.51 million, or $0.19 per share, a year earlier.
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Wyatt Research Staff

LSI Industries, Inc. leads Wednesday's small-cap percentage gainers

These are the biggest percentage losers in Wednesday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $500 million:

    Price at %
1:00p.m. et Change Change Volume Year High Year Low
 LYTS  LSI INDS INC   17.20     +1.93     +12.6%     35.7k     20.81     12.83  
 IEAM  INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES AMER   5.53     +0.48     +9.5%     48.9k     8.65     2.85  
 AVRX  AVALON PHARMACEUTICALS INC   5.50     +0.39     +7.6%     15.4k     6.38     2.20  
 SPAN  SPAN AMER MED SYS INC   23.28     +1.38     +6.3%     0.6k     29.04     10.45  
 BIOD  BIODEL INC   21.73     +1.23     +6.0%     13.0k     20.60     16.26  
 ANSV  ANESIVA INC COM   7.10     +0.37     +5.5%     0.2k     8.71     6.31  
 SMIT  SCHMITT INDS INC ORE   9.10     +0.46     +5.3%     0.1k     8.99     6.27  
 AIXD  ACCESS INTEGRATED TECHNLGS I   7.20     +0.35     +5.1%     27.0k     11.30     5.23  
 FFHL  FUWEI FILMS HLDGS CO LTD   7.65     +0.35     +4.8%     47.7k     18.43     5.58  
 ISPH  INSPIRE PHARMACEUTICALS INC   6.00     +0.25     +4.3%     1.3k     8.70     3.92 

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Will Atkinson

Neurochem Inc. leads Friday small-cap percentage losers

Brean Murray maintained its "sell" rating on Neurochem Inc. (Nasdaq: NRMX).

 

These are the biggest percentage losers in Friday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $500 million:

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Will Atkinson

Novastar Financial, Inc. leads Wednesday small-cap percentage gainers

Subprime loan lender NovaStar Financial Inc. (NYSE: NFI) announced after Tuesday’s closing bell its mortgage unit has completed a $1.4 billion securitization of non-conforming mortgage assets.

Sharper Image Corp. (Nasdaq: SHRP) hosts its earnings call on Thursday, ahead of the company’s June 18 first quarter release.

Wireless test equipment provider COMARCO, Inc. (Nasdaq: CMRO) plans to add two independent directors to its board and review its business focus to improve financial performance, according to an SEC filing.

T.A.T. Technologies Ltd. (Nasdaq: TATTF) reported first quarter earnings of $2.6 million, double the $1.3 million earnings in the year-ago period.

These are the biggest percentage gainers in Wednesday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $500 million:

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