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Ian Wyatt

Is China the Only One Growing?

Stocks continued their drop from the opening on a pullback in energy prices and on rumors that small-cap General Motors (NYSE:GM) may file bankruptcy.

At 11:30, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 16.96, or 4.57%, at 354.34, while the Dow is down 3.16% to 6,658.88, and the S&P 500 is down 3.69% to 686.60.

The bad news out this morning weighed on stocks, and included a survey release that showed nearly 12% of mortgage holders are behind on payments or are in foreclosure.

GM auditors have said they have “substantial doubt” as to whether the battered automaker has the ability to continue, and GM said they may have to seek bankruptcy protection if its huge restructuring plan falls through. GM shares slid over 16% and are now under $2 per share.

Small caps bucking the downward trend today include Weight Watchers International (NYSE:WTW), up 18 on heavier-than-average volume. Cornell Companies (NYSE:CRN) is up over 10% after reporting a rise in Q4 profit, and also reporting positive Q4 profit results was Genesco, Inc. (NYSE:GCO), up 10% on the news.

*****Wednesday's rally could have been stronger, though you can't really be surprised that investors aren't jumping head first back in the stock market. Volume appears to have been solid, but not outstanding.

The most encouraging aspect to Wednesday's rally was leadership. We got leadership from technology and oil. If investors are buying in anticipation of an economic recovery, then oil necessarily must trade higher. Because any uptick in economic activity means increased demand for oil. And with OPEC production cuts taking hold and recent reserve draw-downs, the oil market has to be tight. 

*****Jason Cimpl, analyst for TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts, made 10% on the US Oil Trust ETF (USO) last week. And the USO position he recommended . . .

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SCI Microbloggers

Small caps up 0.77%; EAC, TARG and CNTF lead gainers

During midday trading, the Russell 2000 is one of few indices in the green, up 0.77%, however trading remains volatile, with the market popping back off a 3% mid-morning slide fairly quickly. Today’s small-cap gainers are Encore Acquisiton (NYSE:EAC), Targanta Therapeutics (Nasdaq:TARG) and China TechFaith (Nasdaq:CNTF). Other Market Watch highlights today included:

• The industrial production report released this morning pegged output down 2.8%; the forecast was for -0.8%.
• The best performing areas today are coal, education services, agriculture products, footwear companies, food retail firms, airlines, gas utilities and steel stocks. 
• On the downside, life health insurers, gold, paper products, auto manufacturers, asset mngt. firms, and Internet retail stocks were all taking a hit. 
• Crude oil extends slide after inventory data, dips below $70.
• The credit crisis is forcing many European firms valued at >$1.5B to end their publicly traded status, Bloomberg reports.
• The CBOE Volatility Index (a good indicator of the level of fear in the markets) hits a record high.
• The market continues to slide after the Philly Fed diffusion index fell to -37.5 in Oct. from +3.8 in Sept., its largest 1-month decline ever. 

Small Cap Gainers:

• Targanta Therapeutics Corp. (Nasdaq:TARG) is up 49% on light volume, bouncing off a test of move lows.
• Encore Acquisition (NYSE:EAC) jumps 24% on Q3 operating results and authorization for the repurchase of an additional $40 million in stock.
• Molecular Insight Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq:MIPI) is up 21%, basically trying to recover losses from Wednesday’s big decline.
• Deltek Inc. (Nasdaq:PROJ) announced preliminary results. Shares . . .

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