Tag - Trid

As of 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time press time, stocks in the Dow and S&P 500 were trading up, while the Nasdaq was slightly down. The Dow was trading at 9,550, up 10 points; the S&P 500 at 1,028, up 0.27 points; and the Nasdaq was down 0.80 points, trading at 2,023.

The Russell 2000, an index of the leading small-cap stocks, was down 1.32 points at 582.

Declines lead advances across all three major exchanges at a ratio of about 5 ½ to 4.

Leading small-cap price gainers trading over 1 million shares include Vonage (NYSE:VG), up 37%; Nymox Pharmaceutical Corp. (Nasdaq:NYMX), up 29%; TravelCenters of America (Amex:TA), up 30%; and Trident Microsystems (Nasdaq:TRID), up 18%.

Vonage saw shares surge on growing consensus that the company would survive the recession. One of the first firms to offer Internet-based calling services, Vonage has been challenged with high costs and competition from telephone and cable operators have increasing begun offering bundled services of video, Internet and phone services.

Shares of Vonage are up over 400% since Monday's open.

*****Yesterday, I mentioned that I thought the Cash for Clunkers was a pretty decent idea, as far as stimulus plans go. Rather than simply hand the automakers cash, the government came up with the Cash for Clunkers program that not only got some desperately needed extra cash in the automakers pockets and also took a few low-MPG cars off the streets. It also put cash into the hands of car dealers who have been struggling and a small percentage of that money into local economies.

Of course, the Cash for Clunker program ended Monday. But it occurred to me last night that the rally we've enjoyed since March could well be called the Cash for Clunker Stock rally…

*****There's no way the government can simply replace the wealth that was lost during the financial crisis. Not only would it have to absorb the banks losses, the government would have to reimburse investors for their investment losses and put around 3 million people on its payroll.

No, America must earn its way back to prosperity. And the government has created an environment where many companies can do just that. For banks, accounting rules were changed so that what once was a loss can now be treated as an asset. Without these rule changes, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) would still be clunkers.

Credit card companies have been allowed to jack fees for even their best customers. Government backed efforts to modify mortgages has slowed the foreclosure rate dramatically, and the lag time of foreclosed homes coming to market has allowed prices to stabilize in many areas.

Government guarantees fixed the money markets. And the weak U.S. dollar has put a floor under oil and commodity stocks, even as demand has fallen steadily. (Note: if you're interested in how a continually weak dollar and coming inflation are fuelling a commodities boom and enriching investors, CLICK HERE.)

Amazingly, banks even rejected one of the sweetest Cash for Clunker Stock programs - TARP. TARP would have actually given banks money for their toxic mortgage assets. Imagine that!

*****The Cash for Clunker Stock program has also returned a lot of wealth that Americans lost in the stock market. The government has bent over backward to make it possible for companies to start earning their way out of the hole, and investors are enjoying much improved brokerage reports.

It's no coincidence that some of the best gains during this rally have been achieved by some of the biggest clunker stocks. Bank of America has rallied from a low of $2.53 to $17.75, a 601% move. Citigroup has run from $0.97 to $4.90, a 405% move.

Heck, even walking dead, ward of the state companies Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) have doubled in the last week. Doubled! These two stocks have virtually no purpose except to provide a buyer of last resort for mortgages and make token payments on government loans. And investors are acting like these two companies are actually good investments!

*****Case in point, on Monday and Tuesday this week, Reuters reports that these four stocks - Bank of America, Citigroup, Fannie and Freddie - accounted for 40% of the trading volume at the New York Stock Exchange.

One commentator said, "No one is buying them based on their fundamentals, they're buying based on what the government might do keep them alive."

Yes that's what's moving the stock market these days - the firm understanding that the government has removed risk from even the clunkiest of clunkers.

Reuters is also reporting that short interest for Bank of America is up 28% in August to 118 million shares and at Citigroup, the short position is up 82% to 624 million shares. Makes sense, but I'm not sure I want to take that bet. At least, not until I know the Cash for Clunker Stock program is over.

Until tomorrow,

Ian Wyatt
Editor
Small Cap Investor Daily

P.S. My book The Small-Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small-Cap Stocks is coming out on September 14 - visit www.smallcapbook.com to learn more. You can also follow me on http://twitter.com/ianwyatt 

Ian Wyatt is the Chief Investment Strategist of SmallCapInvestor.com and author of The Small-Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small-Cap Stocks. You can learn more about his book and receive small-cap stock picks at www.smallcapbook.com.

Trident Microsystems, Inc. (Nasdaq: TRID), a semiconductor company focused on multimedia and digital television markets, reported fiscal second-quarter 2008 results above the consensus on Wall Street, but cautioned investors about the remainder of its fiscal year.

Going forward, Trident said it will be in a period of “product transition,” as it moves to develop more system on-a-chip (SoC) solutions. The company also said it anticipates a more competitive environment, which it expects will impact results in calendar year 2008.

For the second half of fiscal 2008, Trident is projecting gross margins to decline to the 45% to 47% range, and further forewarned that as its SoC products ramp up and the market matures, gross margins will trickle down closer to the 40% level.
 
“That’s a tough business model,” said Roth Capital analyst Jay Srivatsa. “You’re fighting on price and trading off on margins — it’s simply not sustainable.” Srivatsa downgraded Trident this morning to a “sell” primarily on the company’s projected decline in gross margins, but also due to its discouraging guidance. His price target now stands at $3.50, down from $7.50. 

For the third quarter of fiscal 2008, the analyst lowered his EPS estimate to $0.12 from $0.14 and for fiscal 2009 lowered his EPS estimate to $0.35 from $0.64. The analyst left his fiscal 2008 EPS projection unchanged at $0.88. The consensus of 16 analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is EPS of $0.16 for the third quarter and $0.93 for fiscal 2008. The mean EPS estimate for 2009 is $0.77.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) and the other major U.S. indices fell today as credit worries resurfaced following news of losses at Citigroup. The small-cap index fell 7.34 points, or 0.92%, to 790.44. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) lost 51.70 points, or 0.38%, to 13,543.40.

On a year-to-date basis, the Russell 2000 has increased 0.38%, while the Dow has added 8.57% and the S&P 500 has gained 6.04%.

The bears dominated trading today following news that Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), the largest U.S. bank, expects to incur additional losses of up to $11 billion after already suffering $6.5 billion in credit-related losses in the third quarter.

Analysts forecast that the credit problems will negatively affect Citibank in the fourth-quarter and lead to a net loss.

That was enough to scare investors, who had been hoping that this summer’s credit problems were in the past. Wall Street will now keep a watchful eye on other banks and brokerages for signs of additional losses stemming from the recession in the U.S. housing sector.

Many financial institutions bought securities backed by subprime mortgages that have become worthless in the wake of falling home prices and a wave of foreclosures by cash-strapped homeowners. No one knows for certain the extent to which the subprime debacle will damage the financial sector.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) managed a late-minute razor-thin gain while the major U.S. indices made solid advances on news of strong earnings and speculation of a rate cut. The small-cap index added 0.33 points, or 0.04%, to 821.72. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) gained 63.56 points, or 0.46%, to 13,870.26.

On a year-to-date basis, the Russell 2000 has increased 4.36%, while the Dow has added 11.19% and the S&P 500 has gained 8.78%.

The small-cap futures were pointing up before the start of trading following news that New York-based Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), the second largest U.S. telecommunications company, reported that revenue for the third-quarter increased 5.8% to $23.8 billion from $22.5 billion a year earlier.

Contributing to the bullish sentiment were retailers RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH) and Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY), which reported upbeat third-quarter earnings.

Among small-cap companies, North American Galvanizing & Coatings (Nasdaq: NGA) rose on news that third-quarter profit more than doubled, while compact construction equipment maker Gehl Co. (Nasdaq: GEHL) fell on news of a decline in profit.

The major U.S. indices opened in positive territory and stayed there throughout the session.

However, small-caps were the exception. The Russell 2000 moved up initially but quickly stumbled and stayed in negative territory during the majority of the session, battling back into the green with just minutes before the close.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) and the other major U.S. indices raced ahead today on news of solid earnings from big players. The small-cap index added 15.28 points, or 1.90%, to 821.39. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) gained 134.78 points, or 0.99%, to 13,806.70.

On a year-to-date basis, the Russell 2000 has increased 4.31%, while the Dow has added 10.68% and the S&P 500 has gained 8.38%.

Futures were pointing up and trading began in the green following news that Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) increased its first-quarter net income 23% to $4.29 billion, or $0.45 per share, above the $0.39 per share projected by analysts. The rise was due to a whooping 87% growth in the company’s entertainment and devices segment, primarily due to strong sales of its video game “Halo.”
 
Adding to the upbeat pre-market sentiment was Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC), the largest mortgage lender in the United States, which said that it will return to profitability in the fourth quarter after losing money in the third quarter due to the meltdown in the subprime mortgage sector.

The bulls took control of trading out of the gate and kept their feet to the pedal throughout the session. With positive earnings news grabbing the headlines, the bears decided to sleep.

But there was some negative news, coming in the form of a larger-than-expected drop in October consumer confidence. The Reuters/University of Michigan final sentiment index fell to a reading of 80.9, the lowest level in more than a year. Economists were expecting to see a decline to a level of 82 from 83.4 in September.

Trident Microsystems, Inc. (Nasdaq: TRID), Online Resources Corp. (Nasdaq: ORCC) and Clayton Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: CLAY) are among the biggest percentage losers in Friday's trading among companies with market capitalizations under $750 million.

Here are today's biggest percentage losers:

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) is posting gains midway though the session, buoyed by earnings news. At 1:34 p.m. ET, the small-cap index had added 8.66 points, or 1.07%, to 814.77. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) was up 78.12 points, or 0.57%, to 13,750.04.

Trading began on a bullish note as investors responded to news that Microsoft Corp.’s (Nasdaq: MSFT) first-quarter earnings beat Wall Street’s projections. The Redmond, Wash.-based company posted a stunning 87% growth in its entertainment and devices segment, primarily due to strong sales of its video game “Halo.”

Meanwhile, Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC), the largest mortgage lender in the United States, said that it will return to profitability in the fourth quarter and outpace projections after taking a hit in the third quarter due to the meltdown in the subprime mortgage sector this summer.

In small-cap news, industrial products maker Graham Corp. (AMEX: GHM) increased its quarterly profit seven-fold, while Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (Nasdaq: GIFI) stumbled after missing analysts’ third-quarter profit expectations.

Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar has fallen to another all-time low against the euro. One greenback can now be exchanged for 0.695 of the currency adopted by 13 countries in the 27-member European Union. This morning the dollar was at 0.698 euros.

The weak dollar is contributing to another rise in the price of oil, which is denominated in the U.S. currency. A barrel of oil now costs $90.99, up $0.53. Earlier in the day the price of oil was closer to $92 a barrel.

Shares of Trident Microsystems, Inc. (Nasdaq: TRID) are sagging this morning after the provider of digital TV technology for the consumer digital video marketplace, reported disappointing fiscal first-quarter results and lowered its outlook after the close Thursday.

For the first three months ended Sept. 30, the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company net income was $24.1 million, or $0.38 per share on a diluted basis, and excludes a charge associated with an investigation into the company’s historical stock option practices. Sixteen analysts polled by Thomson Financial were on average expecting $0.32 per share. The company earned $20 million, or $0.32 per share, in the third quarter of 2006.

Net revenues were $88.1 million, compared with revenues of $71.3 million reported in the third quarter of 2006. The consensus of 16 analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial was $90.2 million.

The quarter included a $10.4 million charge for stock-based compensation expense, $3.76 million charge in legal and accounting fees related to the company’s investigation into its historical stock option practices, $1.65 million charged to cost of revenues relating to amortization of intangible assets and a $1.78 million gain from a cash dividend received as a shareholder of United Microelectronics Corp.

Going forward, Trident Microsystems lowered its outlook for the December quarter due to concerns on converting its customer base to using the company’s single chip SOC, its HiDTV Pro series. The company expects that it may face challenges and competition in the less profitable WXGA markets.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) is the top performer as the major U.S. indices rise on news of upbeat earnings.

At 10:25 a.m. ET, the small-cap index had gained 9.11 points, or 1.13%, to 815.22. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) was up 94.78 points, or 0.69%, to 13,766.70.

The small-cap futures were pointing north following news that Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) reported after Thursday’s close that its first-quarter earnings beat analysts’ expectations, mainly due to strong sales of the videogame “Halo.”  The Redmond, Wash.-based also raised its outlook for the full fiscal year.

Contributing to the upbeat sentiment is Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC), the largest mortgage lender in the United States, which announced that it will return to profitability in the fourth quarter and beat Wall Street’s expectations. The New York-based company also reported a third-quarter net loss, its first in a quarter century, due to the meltdown in the subprime mortgage sector this summer.

Among small-cap companies, Callidus Software Inc. (Nasdaq: CALD) has been left behind after reporting a wider-than-expected third-quarter net loss.

In economic news, U.S. consumer confidence tumbled more-than-expected. The Reuters/University of Michigan final sentiment index fell in October to a reading of 80.9, the lowest level in more than a year. Economists were expecting to see a decline to a level of 82. The index was at 83.4 in September.

The Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM) futures are rising and the small-cap index is set for a bullish opening on positive earnings news.

Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) reported after the close on Thursday that its first-quarter earnings beat analysts’ expectations due to strong sales of the videogame “Halo.”  The Redmond, Wash.-based also raised its outlook for the full fiscal year.

Contributing to the upbeat sentiment is troubled mortgage lender Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC), which announced that it will return to profitability in the fourth quarter. The New York-based company also reported a third-quarter net loss, its first in 25 years.

Like other mortgage lenders, Countrywide took a hit this summer due to the meltdown in the subprime mortgage sector.

Here are the biggest percentage gainers and losers in pre-market trading among companies with a market cap between $100 million and $750 million:

Biggest percentage gainers:

• Sierra Wireless Inc. (SWIR), up 14% on news of higher third-quarter earnings.
• FalconStor Software Inc. (FALC), up 11% on news of a strong third-quarter.
• Ikanos Communications Inc. (IKAN), up 11% despite news of a wider third-quarter loss.

Biggest percentage losers:

• Trident Microsystems Inc. (TRID), down 28% on news that quarterly financial results missed expectations.
• Online Resources Corp. (ORCC), down 19% on news of fourth-quarter guidance below projections.
• LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) down 16% on news it did not provide a guidance for fiscal 2008.