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Ian Wyatt

Is General Motors a Buy?

Last year General Motors Company filed for bankruptcy and collapsed into the government’s arms. With around $170 billion in debt in 2009 and only $82 billion in assets, the bankruptcy filing kicked off a major restructuring effort.

On November 17th this restructuring will culminate with an initial public offering (IPO).

At the time bankruptcy was announced, Chief Executive Frederick Henderson said the move would “...give us another chance”. President Barack Obama also supported the move, saying GM would emerge a “...stronger and more competitive company”.

Now, almost a year and a half later, General Motors appears to be getting its second chance.

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Kevin Pendley

Record continuing claims, weak profits hurt small caps

Small-cap stocks pushed lower to start Thursday’s session, as the latest figures on weekly claims showed record large numbers of U.S. citizens are on unemployment insurance. In addition, earnings news and monthly retailer sales figures are sloppy as expected, adding to the bearish tone. At 10:01 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 4.93, or 1.10%, at 443.55. Although small caps remain above the January lows, the Dow today slipped to the lowest point since the Nov. 21 bottom was carved out.

The weekly claims report rose to a new cycle high, as a sobering number of Americans were forced to file for unemployment benefits last week. The headline figure on claims came out at 626,000, which was way ahead of the projection of 592,000. That figure marked the highest level on weekly claims since 1982. Even more sobering is that the number of people forced to remain on the unemployment rolls climbed to 4.78 million, which is the largest number on record. Although these figures won’t make it into Friday’s big monthly Labor Department jobs report for January, it’s still a troubling sign.

At the same time that the weekly claims report came out, the latest reading on productivity was released, and the number topped the forecast by quite a bit, with productivity coming in at 3.2%, well above the 1.4% projection. The factory orders report at 10:00 a.m. ET came in at minus 3.9% and included a hefty downward revision to last month’s report.

Coming into today’s action, stock markets in Europe and Asia were seeing a mild retreat, with European shares pulled down by losses for insurance companies and consumer products firms. Swiss Re, the world’s second-largest insurer saw double-digit losses in European trading and Warren Buffett invested about $2.6 billion in the firm. The Bank of England trimmed another 50 basis points off their benchmark interest rate, bringing rates down to 1%, the lowest level in more than 300 years for the bank. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank opted to leave their benchmark . . .

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Kevin Pendley

Claims data stunner to pull down Russell on open

Small-cap stocks are expected to open lower, pulled down by a stunning jump in weekly unemployment claims, which jolted investors a day ahead of the monthly employment release. The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was up about 0.3% before the claims number was released, but now is expected to open down 0.5%, which suggests an open near 715.00.

The weekly claims figure shot to 448,000, which was way above the forecast of 395,000. In fact, it was the largest weekly claims figure in more than five years. The immediate response to the number was a rise in Treasury products, a slide in the U.S. dollar and a whopping 11-handle decline in S&P 500 futures.

At the same time that the weekly claims figure came out, the GDP report also was released. The headline number for GDP came in at 1.9%, which was below the forecast of 2.2%. While GDP also was a disappointment, the fury behind the slide in stocks and the dollar was clearly fueled by the weekly claims shocker.

Crude oil prices stalled overnight, and were down about $0.60 a barrel near $126 heading toward the U.S. open. Energy prices shot $4 dollars a barrel higher Wednesday afternoon on a surprising drop in gasoline stocks seen on the weekly storage data, but that move appears to have lost momentum early today.

There is a potpourri of big-name stocks in the news this morning, with some 40 of the S&P 500 slated to release earnings today. In the financial arena Prudential Financial Inc. (NYSE:PRU) rallied some 5% overnight as losses from subprime . . .

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Ann C. Logue

IPO Watch: Safe Bulkers

(NYSE:SB)
Priced on May 28
$190 million proceeds
$378.4 million post-money valuation

Safe Bulkers operates a fleet of 11 ships used to carry dry bulk, which is uniform cargo that can be stored in loose piles such as grain or iron ore. To get it from place to place, shippers use dry-bulk ships, and Safe Bulkers is one of the fleet operators they call. The company’s ships have an average age of 2.6 years, making it one of the youngest fleets in the industry. The company’s largest customer is agribusiness company Bunge Limited (NYSE:BG), which contributed 29.9% of 2007 revenues. Another agribusiness firm, Cargill International, represented 21.1% of revenues, and Daiichi Chuo Kisen Kaisha, a shipping company, was responsible for 18.2% of sales. That’s a total of 69.2%, a proverbial blessing and curse. Safe Bulkers has most of its fleet time accounted for, but the loss of one of those customers would be devastating.

Operating the ships uses a lot of capital, but the business makes money. In 2007, Safe Bulkers posted net income of $87.8 million on revenue of $161.1 million. Cash provided by operating activities was $278.5 million. The ships need ongoing maintenance, but they also have value; Safe Bulkers historical financial results often include gains from sales of ships.

The company is owned by Vorini Holdings, an investment firm controlled by the Hajioannou family of Greece. Vorini sold all of the stock in this offering, and will still control more than 80%. The company itself did not get any of the proceeds. Nevertheless, Safe Bulkers has plans to expand its fleet to 19 ships in the next two years. The filing range was $20 to $22, so the $19 price was a little . . .

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Will Atkinson

Small caps continue slide

Small-cap stocks opened lower after the opening bell, experienced a slight bump after the Consumer Confidence report was released at 10 a.m., but are continuing to slide in midday Tuesday trading. At 12:37 p.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 8.19, or 1.13%, to 717.18.

The Conference Board reported that April’s Consumer Confidence Index slumped to 62.3, the lowest level in five years, from a revised 65.9 in March. Economists expected the index, which has declined fourth months in a row, to decline to 61.

During a morning press conference, President Bush said Congress should allow more domestic energy production. Higher production would lower record-high gas prices, he said. Bush said gas prices have risen $1.40 per gallon since the Democrats won a majority in Congress, and pointed to stalled efforts to open drilling in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, which would “likely mean lower gas prices.” The president will consider proposals by Sen. John McCain and Sen. Hillary Clinton to suspend the federal gas tax, but did not provide backing for the proposal. The President also noted that the economic stimulus package is in on the way.

Large-cap movers this morning included drug company Merck & Co. (NYSE:MRK), which was down 8% on news that the FDA rejected a new cholesterol drug. From an overall stock market picture, the news had a somewhat muted impact, because it lifted Merck competitor Abbott Labs (NYSE:ABT) by 3%. In addition, Visa (NYSE:V) posted decent earnings ahead of the opening, and the financial firm is up 1% in midday trading after dipping in earlier action.

Within the small-cap spectrum, LCA Vision Inc. (Nasdaq:LCAV) is down 17%, gapping lower on weak earnings. Intevac Inc. (Nasdaq:IVAC) was down 23% as well, also on earnings news, and TheStreet.com Inc. (Nasdaq:TSCM) was off 13% on soft earnings. Digi International Inc. (Nasdaq:DGII) shares are slumping more than 19% after the Minnetonka, Minn.-based company reported early Tuesday that its second-quarter revenue totaled $43.1 million, which fell short of Wall Street’s expectation of $51.1 million.

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Kevin Pendley

Small caps remain lower after short-lived data bounce

Small-cap stocks opened lower, slightly trimmed losses after the Consumer Confidence report came out at 10:00 a.m. ET, but then retreated right back to pre-release levels. The report showed an upward revision to the March report, which provided a brief bid to the market, but it was not enough to catch hold (at least immediately). At 10:01 a.m. ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down 1.84, or 0.25%, at 723.53.

The Consumer Confidence report was pegged at 62.3 in April, which was in line with the forecast of 62, but the March number was revised upward to 65.9 versus 64.5. Still, the April figure was the lowest in five years.

Next on line … President Bush is slated to hold a press conference at 10:30 a.m. ET, where he is expected to talk about the economy.

The opening action was soft in line with overnight declines on a dip in European shares as Deutsche Bank posted its first quarterly loss in five years, and French tire company Michelin tumbled 9% on sloppy earnings.

Large-cap companies influencing trade this morning included drug company Merck & Co. (NYSE:MRK), which was down 7% on news that the FDA rejected a new cholesterol drug. From an overall stock market picture, the news had a somewhat muted impact, because it lifted Merck competitor Abbott Labs (NYSE:ABT) by 4%. In addition, Visa (NYSE:V) posted decent earnings ahead of the opening, but the financial firm was down 3% in early action.

The S&P 500 stalled approaching the 1,400 level on the latest push upward, and that key figure resistance will be closely watched through the rest of the week’s major economic events. In the Russell 2000, the market yesterday climbed . . .

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Kevin Pendley

Russell poised for mild opening dip

Small-cap stocks are expected to open slightly lower this morning, in line with a very mild overnight dip in equities. The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) was down about 0.1% in after-hours trading (trimming earlier declines), which would equate to near 724 at the start of today's trading.

Large-cap futures were pulled down overnight by soft earnings from Visa (NYSE:V), which was down some 4%. In addition, Merck & Co. (NYSE:MRK) was off more than 7% on news that the FDA rejected a new cholesterol drug from the pharmaceutical firm.

Overseas stocks were mixed overnight, with Japan flat, Hong Kong up 0.9%, and European shares down some 0.3% after Deutsche Bank generated its first quarterly loss in five years and Michelin tumbled about 8% on weak earnings.

Some of the buyer reluctance from late yesterday and overnight may be tied to jitters in front of today’s 10:00 a.m. ET Consumer Confidence report, especially . . .

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Will Atkinson

CEO: Piper Jaffray continues to hold cautious view

Piper Jaffray Companies (NYSE:PJC) CEO Andrew Duff said the Minneapolis, Minn.-based investment bank continues to hold a cautious view on the first half of 2008. Duff made the comments during a morning conference call.

“Our outlook has not changed. We believe the weakness in the first quarter activity levels will carry through the second quarter,” Duff said. “That said, we remain focused on our long-term strategy and growth objectives.”

The chief executive said Piper Jaffray intends to benefit from the market turmoil

“We also intend to seize opportunities presented by the market downturn, including selectively hiring talent to enhance our franchise that can place us in an even stronger competitive position when the conditions turn more favorable,” Duff said.

In response to an analyst’s question about bringing in new hires, Duff said the current market environment can be particularly favorable because prospective employees can be hired under uncharacteristic terms. While Piper has hired new talent in its telecom, media and biotech segments, Duff said the firm has fired employees involved in . . .

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Alex Alexandrov

Small caps stay positive

The Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) is trading in the red while the Dow is little changed.

At 11:33 a.m. ET, the small-cap index was up 2.76 points, or 0.40%, to 684.69. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) is up 24.50 points, or 0.20%, to 12,417.16.

Small-cap stocks opened with a rise following news that Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) saw a decline in fiscal first-quarter profit but still beat expectations. That’s good news for investors worried that the pain that from Bear Stearns (NYSE:BSC) could spread to other investment banks.

Also helping the bulls is Visa Inc. (NYSE:V). Shares of the world’s largest credit card company debuted today with a rise of over 30%.

In economic news, the Mortgage Bankers Association announced before the start of trading that its index of loan application volume fell 2.9% for the week ended March 14. Also, the index of refinancing applications tumbled 4.6%.

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Ann C. Logue

IPO Watch: Visa

www.visa.com
NYSE: V
Scheduled for week of Mar. 17
$16 billion proceeds
$30.8 billion post-money valuation

Finally, there’s a hot IPO. Visa, the king of the credit cards, is going public in the king of all IPOs, the biggest ever in the United States. The company, which operates the world’s largest electronic payments network used for credit and debit transactions, is currently held by a consortium of banks, and they are not selling their Class B and Class C shares. However, they may as well be, as $10 billion of the proceeds (structured as Class A shares) will be used to redeem some of their stock upon the offering. Another $3 billion of the proceeds will be put in escrow for litigation, and the rest will go to general corporate purposes.

The litigation allowance is a bit scary. Visa has four main suits against it, all of which allege different forms of antitrust. The suits have been filed separately by Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), American Express Company (NYSE: AXP), a large group of merchants, and the fourth by a class of consumers. MasterCard Incorporated (NYSE: MA), which went public in 2006, had a similar list of litigation in its prospectus, but it hasn’t held the stock back. It was offered at $39 on May 24, 2006, and currently trades at $191.50. Visa’s betting that investors will see the MasterCard profits and want a chance at the same, lawyers be damned.

Lawsuits aside, Visa is nicely profitable. Pro-forma for the effects of post-IPO share redemptions, the company lost $861 million on $5.2 billion of revenue, although expenses include a $2.7 billion charge for settling litigation with American Express. Revenue was up 33% in 2007 to over the $3.9 billion posted in 2006, thanks in part to a 13% increase in the number of payments processed and a 22% increase in the cash value of these payments.

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